As co-founder and Director of Research for Vision Prize, I worked to understand and communicate expert opinion on climate risk. In addition to assessing the views of scientists, we asked our expert panelists to predict the views of their scientific colleagues. This approach gave new insight into the level of scientific consensus on critical issues, which in some cases may be just as important as knowing the majority view. See some of our press coverage below or our full history of results.
Survey: Climate Experts Favor Retiring Coal, Keeping NuclearIEEE Spectrum - July 24, 2014
If you were the scientific advisor to a $200-billion venture capital fund that aims to limit global warming over the next 20 years, what investment would you recommend as having the single biggest impact? |
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Renewable Power Tops Climate Change Solutions in Expert SurveyIEEE Spectrum - February 19, 2014
Climate experts recently chose distributed renewable energy, energy efficiency, and next-generation nuclear power as the ones most likely to make a big impact on climate change. |
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Vision Prize: Scientists are Worried the IPCC is Underestimating Sea Level RiseThe Guardian - February 18, 2014
The survey results also show the change in the IPCC estimated climate sensitivity range is not at all reassuring |
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Was the IPCC Assessment Too Optimistic on Sea-level Rise?Environmental Research Web - February 18, 2014
The majority of respondents in Vision Prize’s latest poll, reckon it’s at least “about as likely as not” that sea-level rise this century will exceed 0.91 m, the highest value projected in the IPCC’s fifth assessment report. |
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Climate Experts Agree with Each Other More Than They ThinkEnvironmental Research Web - October 29, 2013
Climate experts agree with each other more than they think, according to the results of Vision Prize’s most recently completed poll. |
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Vision Prize: Polling Experts about Climate–and Each OtherAmerican Meteorological Association's "The Front Page" blog - March 4, 2013
If you can’t get enough of prediction by forecasting weather or climate–or basketball tournament brackets, elections, and the Oscars—here’s the game for you: Try the web-based opinion poll of climate and earth scientists—the Vision Prize. |
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'Plain Language' Poll of Climate Scientists Shows Concrete Examples of Iconic ChangesEnvironmental Research Web - March 4, 2013
What is the likelihood that global average sea level will rise more during this century than IPCC forecasts? Did global warming make the recent record high U.S. summer temperatures worse? |
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Scientific Consensus Stronger than Scientists Thought?The Yale Forum on Climate Change and the Media - May 2, 2012
An innovative sampling of a small group of climate scientists’ perspectives suggests their views may be more commonly shared among their science colleagues than they had thought. |
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